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The Variation Among Local Labor Markets

Not surprisingly, there are substantial differences among the four labor markets we examined. Indeed, the purpose of examining four communities--rather than analyzing a single labor market in greater detail--was to identify the ways in which sub-baccalaureate labor markets, with their intense local focus, vary from place to place. While further research in still other communities would uncover other kinds of variation, the most obvious variations include the following:

The dominant sectors determine what occupations are in short supply.[38] In Frankton, for example, the manufacturers who have moved in to take advantage of low costs complain about the shortage of machinists and repairmen: Since there has not been an extensive market for these occupations, there is not a pool of experienced workers in these occupations (even in a recession) while no such shortage exists in Cotooli. Similarly, individuals trained in modern electronics are harder to find in Cotooli than in Palmdale, where an employment boom in the 1970s and early 1980s generated a surplus of technicians. (Shortages seem to develop only in occupations where substantial technical training is necessary, however: No employers complained about shortages of secretaries, clerical workers, accountants, or other business occupations--except in the sense that independent and reliable individuals willing to work for low wages are always in short supply.)

Otherwise, however, the sectoral composition of local labor markets seems to make little difference (for a similar argument, see Grubb & McDonnell, 1991). One reason is simply that the occupations of sub-baccalaureate labor markets are quite common, with relatively large numbers in virtually any community (except the smallest): Every labor market has large numbers of secretaries, clerical workers, accountants, production technicians, nurses and health technicians, and the like. The problem that exists is at the baccalaureate level--where some markets are "thin" in the sense of having very few positions in specific occupations--and is much less serious in sub-baccalaureate labor markets.

It is tempting to draw a link between the technological development within a community and the nature of the relations between educators and employers. In Frankton, which is relatively unsophisticated technically, there appears to be less concern with skill development and formal schooling--one individual remarked, "Frankton is not education-oriented"; and the majority of employers we interviewed were either indifferent to local education providers or openly critical of them. In Cotooli, with much more technically advanced firms, relations between education providers and employers are generally excellent. However, there are too many other factors to establish such a simple link, and the variation within communities and among occupations within the same community adds to the confusion. Establishing a causal relationship between a community's technological sophistication and the nature of relations between education and employment will require substantially more information than we currently have.

There are, then, some clear differences among the four communities we examined. However, the commonalities in the sub-baccalaureate labor market across different communities are even more striking both among providers of education and training and among employers. These commonalities allow us to generalize about sub-baccalaureate labor markets rather than treating them as purely local and idiosyncratic.


[38] Employers and educators speak of shortages without regard to wage rates; that is, they usually do not acknowledge that shortages could be eliminated by increasing wages but instead speak about shortages as being caused either by the preferences of potential workers--for example, avoiding machining because of its image as a dirty occupation--by the lack of education and training programs, or by the lack of experienced workers because of out-migration or sectoral patterns. Therefore, the dominant responses to perceptions of shortage are to recruit over a wider area and to induce education providers to create or expand programs, not to increase wages.

[39] The variation in how educators and employers interact is almost certainly much greater than we were able to capture in four communities. For example, some communities are dominated by a single community college with an enormous local reputation, as described in Grubb and McDonnell (1991). In other areas, there are virtually no providers of postsecondary education and training; Indiana has only one community college, for example. Florida's requirement that vocational programs must have a seventy percent related placement rate may have changed these relationships, as may have the performance measures required by the Perkins Act.


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